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2024-12-13 04:40:21

Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."Institution: US CPI data may trigger currency and national debt fluctuations. Joseph Dahrieh, an analyst at Tickmill, said in a report that the US CPI data in November will be released later, which may provide important information for the Fed's policy prospects and may trigger short-term fluctuations in the currency and bond markets. The overall inflation rate is expected to rise from 2.6% in October to 2.7%. However, he said that stronger-than-expected data may delay the Fed's interest rate cut plan, which may continue the recent rally of the US dollar; The lower-than-expected inflation data may strengthen the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December, putting downward pressure on the US dollar. In addition, he said that the yield of US Treasury bonds has stabilized recently, but it may also react strongly to the release of inflation data.Bank of France: Industrial uncertainty hit a two-year high.


OPEC monthly report, second-hand data show that Russia's crude oil output fell to 899.4 million US dollars/day last month; Libya's crude oil production in November increased by 141,000 barrels per day to 1.24 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia's crude oil production in November fell by 10,000 barrels per day to 8.96 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day; Iran's crude oil production in November increased by 37,000 barrels per day to 3.32 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day; The crude oil output of the United Arab Emirates increased by 0.4 million barrels per day in November to 2.958 million barrels per day; Libya's crude oil production in November increased by 141,000 barrels per day to 1.238 million barrels per day. Kuwait's crude oil production in November decreased by 11,000 barrels per day to 2.408 million barrels per day; Kazakhstan's crude oil production in November increased by 202,000 barrels per day to 1.5 million barrels per day; Kuwait's crude oil production in November decreased by 11,000 barrels per day to 2.408 million barrels per day; Iraq's crude oil production in November decreased by 45,000 barrels per day to 4.04 million barrels per day.The winning bid rate of US 3-year Treasury bonds is slightly higher than the pre-issue trading level. The winning bid rate of US Treasury issued US$ 58 billion 3-year Treasury bonds is 4.117%, and the pre-issue trading level was 4.116% when the bidding closed at 1 pm new york time. The previous round of selling increased the yield by nearly 4 basis points. The market's response to the bidding results is minimal, and the yield of each term is still close to the intraday high. Primary dealers were allocated 15.1%, lower than the previous one; The proportion of direct bidders was increased to 20.7%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was reduced to 64.2%. The bid multiple is 2.58 times, and the average of the previous six times is 2.56 times.Goldman Sachs: "According to our basic forecast, the tanker freight will drop slightly in the next few years, but if the diversion of tankers in the Red Sea and Russia ends, the tanker freight will further drop by 30%."


The winning bid rate of US 3-year Treasury bonds is slightly higher than the pre-issue trading level. The winning bid rate of US Treasury issued US$ 58 billion 3-year Treasury bonds is 4.117%, and the pre-issue trading level was 4.116% when the bidding closed at 1 pm new york time. The previous round of selling increased the yield by nearly 4 basis points. The market's response to the bidding results is minimal, and the yield of each term is still close to the intraday high. Primary dealers were allocated 15.1%, lower than the previous one; The proportion of direct bidders was increased to 20.7%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was reduced to 64.2%. The bid multiple is 2.58 times, and the average of the previous six times is 2.56 times.Market information: US federal judge blocked Kroger's $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons.Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.

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